What This System Is Doing
Every morning, completed games are written back to each sport database to keep performance tracking up to date. Throughout the day, prediction models refresh with fresh market odds, then surface the strongest discrepancies between model probability and sportsbook implied probability.
The goal is decision support: show where model confidence and market pricing align or diverge, then measure outcomes over time.
PRISM improves over time via a closed feedback loop: each finalized pick is stored with lifecycle status, stake state, injury-lock timing, implied probabilities, and realized outcome. Analyst feedback then updates weighting preferences for tiering and trust gates, while the history set grows calibration quality across confidence bands and edge buckets.